pexels-photo-26351-largeChoosing where to live is paramount in life. If someone chooses to live in a place without considering the initial conditions, it could prove to be detrimental. However, when you have all of the information, you can predict the future.

This idea is evident through recent natural disasters: flooding in Baton Rouge, and the hurricane that just made landfall in Florida. Common sense and thinking simply tells us to live away from the coasts, near a natural water source, and away from a fault line. Thus, choosing to live in a place such as Florida or parts of Louisiana is, according to the principle of preconceived events based on a set of initial conditions, not smart.

In “Florida’s Eleven Year Hurricane Drought Just Ended” by Alex Cranz, it is discussed how Florida has been “lucky” to have avoided hurricanes for the last eleven years, but also argues that according to statistics and common sense, Florida should be a hotbed for hurricanes. Cranz wrote, “…according to the National Hurricane Center, 40-percent of Atlantic and Gulf-based hurricanes from 1851-2010 affected Florida. The state has more coastline than any other state touching the Gulf of Mexico or the Atlantic, so the odds were never in Florida’s favor” (Cranz, 2016). This quote, and the article in general is extremely relatable to what IMT proves. Specifically, one might argue, according to IMT, that someone who chose to live in Florida, ignored the readily apparent initial conditions. Just as Cranz pointed out, Florida has more coastline than any other state in that region of the country.

Therefore, the moral of the article and the value IMT brings is that we need to consider all of the initial conditions when making any decision. This is key because if we ignore the initial conditions, then it can prove to be detrimental.

 

Sources

http://fcit.usf.edu/florida/maps/galleries/hurricanesandtropicalstorms/index.htm

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents/

http://floridadisaster.com/hurricanes.html

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